TL;DR
Trump Media initially announced plans for a prediction market product called Truth Predict but now indicates it is only in development and will focus on a promotional collaboration with OG.com. The full launch appears postponed or scaled down.
Trump Media has significantly scaled back its plans for a standalone prediction market product, now indicating that the project remains in development and will initially be limited to a promotional collaboration with OG.com, a prediction platform launched by Crypto.com.
Last year, Trump Media announced Truth Predict, a partnership with Crypto.com, promising a prediction market allowing users to trade on various topics through the platform’s embedded service. The company claimed the product would democratize information and enable users to leverage the platform’s ‘Truth gem’ currency for trades.
However, in its latest public filing, Trump Media states that Truth Predict is still in development but will not be launched as a full product. Instead, the company plans a ‘marketing and promotion collaboration’ with OG.com, a US-based prediction market platform launched by Crypto.com in February 2026. Neither Trump Media nor Crypto.com has clarified the scope or specifics of this collaboration.
Why It Matters
This development suggests that Trump Media’s ambitions for a proprietary prediction market are on hold or significantly reduced. The shift to a promotional partnership rather than a full product launch indicates possible strategic reconsiderations, resource constraints, or regulatory complexities. Given the industry’s growth and political interest, the move impacts expectations for Trump Media’s involvement in the prediction market space and signals potential delays or cancellations of broader plans.
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Background
In October 2025, Trump Media announced Truth Predict alongside plans to integrate cryptocurrency trading via Crypto.com. The company emphasized democratizing prediction markets and empowering users through social media. Despite initial enthusiasm, recent filings show a pivot towards a limited collaboration. The prediction market industry is highly contested, with other players like Kalshi and Polymarket establishing partnerships with mainstream media outlets and facing regulatory scrutiny. The industry has seen a complex legal landscape, with the Trump administration’s regulators taking a more permissive stance, but states like Nevada and Massachusetts actively challenge platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi over gambling laws.
“We’re encouraged by the progress we’ve made developing Truth Predict in partnership with CDNA and look forward to bringing this exciting feature to Truth Social’s users.”
— Shannon Devine, Trump Media spokesperson
“Margin trading is not an offered product.”
— Unspecified OG.com team member
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What Remains Unclear
It remains unclear when or if Trump Media plans to launch a full prediction market product. Details about the scope of the ‘marketing and promotion collaboration’ with OG.com, including whether it will include trading features like margin trading, are not yet confirmed. The company’s future steps and potential regulatory hurdles are also still uncertain.
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What’s Next
Next steps include further clarification from Trump Media and Crypto.com about the nature of the collaboration, potential pilot testing, and any future plans for a full product launch. Regulatory developments and industry responses will also influence the company’s trajectory in this space.
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Key Questions
Will Trump Media still develop its own prediction market?
It is not yet clear. The company states that the project remains in development but is now focused on a promotional partnership rather than a full standalone product.
What is OG.com, and what role does it play?
OG.com is a US-based prediction market platform launched by Crypto.com in February 2026. It is now involved in a marketing and promotion collaboration with Trump Media, but details are not publicly available.
It is uncertain. Currently, there is no confirmed timeline for the integration of prediction trading features into Truth Social, especially given the shift to a promotional partnership.
Why did Trump Media change its plans from a full product to a partnership?
The reasons are not publicly specified. Possible factors include regulatory challenges, strategic reassessment, or resource allocation, but this remains speculative.
